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Fed rate hike rattles Indian markets, RBI in watch
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75-4% and signaled one more hike this year. Indian markets opened flat to lower as investors weighed higher U.S. yields, a stronger dollar, and energy volatility. Analysts say the RBI (Reserve Bank of India) may tighten later this year, raising domestic borrowing costs.

The moment the Fed moved, the pressure showed on the rupee and Indian bonds as traders watched the dollar strengthen and oil hover above $100 a barrel24. In Mumbai, Sensex and Nifty opened slightly negative or muted, with sub indices like IT and pharma leading losses while others showed mixed moves79.
Analysts note India faces a tug between global rates and domestic inflation, hinting that the RBI could tighten at a later meeting, depending on energy prices and growth data47. Investors weighed the possibility of further US hikes this year as markets adjusted to higher long yields and renewed hawkish guidance23.
By midday, traders looked to currency moves and foreign fund flows for direction, even as the NSE IPOs and crude price movements added to the headline risk5913. The day underscored how global policy signals ripple through India’s markets, pushing volatility higher but offering selective pockets of value in autos, banks and consumer names as the session wore on71525.
The next big move hinges on the Fed’s guidance and RBI’s response, with traders bracing for what the dollar, yields and oil do next21038.
Questions about this story
What policy move did the Fed announce?▾
The Fed raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75-4% and signaled one more hike likely this year2.
Why might the RBI act later this year?▾
Analysts expect the RBI to tighten possibly at its October meeting due to higher energy costs and sustained domestic growth and inflation pressures4.
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